Predictions

[William Bourque]

What happened to all of us who use to post and argue over who was going to win what regional championship, who was the best player and such. Pat Lawton is getting very upset that he can't post more about himself and his inability to skate while effectively ruining thread after thread.

So I leave you with the following predictions for the second semester.


#1 - Pat Lawton will fall while skating on defense a grand total of 33 1/2 times.

#2 - Justin Brennan will make 12 saves with his head that his teammates always seem to talk about like they have some weird infatuation with it.

#3 - Mark Amato will set a career high in penalty minutes by taking at least 2 more penalties this season.

#4 - Bryan Lowe will score 3 even strength goals in the remaining games pushing his season total to 5, even though he scores 20 goals (no pressure)

#5 - Steve Downie will be suspended from the ECRHA.

#6 - At least 5 games will go into overtime at regionals, including both the DI and B championship games.

#7 - Steve Downie will be suspended from the NFL.

#8 - I will have a heart attack en route to becoming the first person in the world to eat 365 Chipotle burritos in 90 days.

#9 - Bode Miller will ski drunk.

#10 - I will lose my voice or get sick before a weekend is out.

Good Luck to everyone in the second half of the season.

[Patn Lawton]

How am I supposed to half-fall?

[MAmato]

i still think the way in which i got my first penalty this year was hilarious

if the ref isn't going to call a guy in my crease, i'll just grab his stick and throw it in the corner

[William Bourque]

How am I supposed to half-fall?

you will find a way.

[William Bourque]

i still think the way in which i got my first penalty this year was hilarious

if the ref isn't going to call a guy in my crease, i'll just grab his stick and throw it in the corner

i wish i would have seen that...

[DGlass]

It's kind of like getting half of a sack - doesn't really make the most sense in the world, but everyone is pretty alright with it.


Shouldn't the prediction be, "Bode Miller will ski sober?" I was pretty sure he always skied drunk.

[Leaferguy]

The real issue for #2 is will the puck leave my orbit after colliding with my head...

[BLowe7]

3 even strength goals, I just don't know if I can do that

[RustyPipes27]

Okay, time for some real talk here. What teams from the ECRHA will be making the trip to Colorado? What about the other regions, who else will be going?

[InlineMBA]

I really think both Penn State and Rutgers will earn At-Large Bids in DI. However, I don't know the rules as far as how many teams from one division can receive at-large bids.

Steve Inge - ROXBURY 8

[William Bourque]

I really think both Penn State and Rutgers will earn At-Large Bids in DI. However, I don't know the rules as far as how many teams from one division can receive at-large bids.

Steve Inge - ROXBURY 8



There is no limit for one Division on how many teams would go. Four teams from the ECRHA made it this year.

Although Rutgers and Penn State are very talented teams, it pretty much going to be impossible to determine who the #2-6 teams in the ECRHA until the end of the regional tournament. The same can be said in a few other regions. The more upsets around the country, the worse it is for the bubble teams like Rutgers and Penn State.

[Army Defense]

there is a strong possibility of 3/4 teams in the metro conference of the ECRHA gaining national bids.. Army's only losses have been in conference play, it will be interesting to see what happens the 2nd half of the season in inter-conference and inter-league play.

[RustyPipes27]

there is a strong possibility of 3/4 teams in the metro conference of the ECRHA gaining national bids.. Army's only losses have been in conference play, it will be interesting to see what happens the 2nd half of the season in inter-conference and inter-league play.

Um, I don't know if that's a strong possibility. No offense, but Army is 2-4-1... they have their work cut out for them if they're going to make Nationals, not to say that it isn't possible, though. But to say it's a "strong" possibility is a stretch.

[hockeydude92]

i believe that there will be major upsets cough lindenwood, stony brook ,neumann,truman cough. upsets equal change in rankings 100%. look at ncaa football Kansas and Missouri teams were ranked 1 and 2 and in one week, both teams lost the next, fell to 5 and 6, and a week later they were denied the national championship game. could that scenario play out in in ncrha? this is a hot topic forum guys give me some input. Will these four teams choke?

[MAmato]

As for DII, despite looking very weak in both preseason events, I would be extremely, extremely surprised if Vermont didn't surprise everybody. They essentially trap the hell out of teams, make safe plays all the time, and despite seeming to always be way the hell behind in puck possession, grind out tight games.

Not to take away from the SRU tandem, who are both absurdly good, but I guess it helps having the best goalie in the East, huh?

On that note, I have a bone to pick with DII: I know All Star rosters haven't been released to the general public, but how anybody can defend Joe DiNapoli not getting a spot is beyond me. He's quietly been one of the most consistent goalies in the league the past two years.

edit: wait a god damned minute, neither of the SRU guys got a bid? I fault myself for that because I completely forgot about those guys, but are we all out of our collective minds? Or is that more of a "hey, they platoon two very good guys and only one is on the ballot so we'll vote for zero" sort of thing?

[Leaferguy]

I think the SRU thing has more to do with recognition and the fact that both guys have nearly identical stats, so people think it has to do with the team in front of them. Or something. I don't really know.

Also, this is not their fault at all, but half of the team's stats aren't in, including 13-3 and 8-1 losses. This may change those stats a little.

I'm guessing that most people who voted didn't do a detailed stats analysis, though, so it's probably name recognition (we have that in DII ECRHA?).

[InlineMBA]

Wow, Army had a good weekend.

Steve Inge - ROXBURY 8

[MAmato]

As a player for MU, I have to say that I agree. He single handedly beat Slippery Rock for us....we give up a lot of shots, he consistently makes "wow" save after "wow" save.

Hopefully we'll fare a little better this semester with the return of a couple vets who didn't play the first semester. Nick Santoleri back on D will be a big boost.I see you already benefited from having him back, congrats on beating a strong SRU team.

Should be interesting to see which team gets bumped. I'd really like to avoid a repeat of what happened last year (where your captain begged us to beat Vermont via PM after flaming my team as being unworthy of making regionals). Based on strength of schedule concerns, I was worried it might happen again, but it looks a whole lot like there's going to be two conferences sending three, one sending two, and one conference sending four. That's appropriate, given that the south is a goddamn bloodbath.

On a similar note, you could see the entire standings change after next week, what with empire playing at least 7 conference games by my count, some weird matchups for the south, an SRU team that hit a bit of a bump in the road, and Temple quietly having a really, really good season.

[William Bourque]

there is a strong possibility of 3/4 teams in the metro conference of the ECRHA gaining national bids.. Army's only losses have been in conference play, it will be interesting to see what happens the 2nd half of the season in inter-conference and inter-league play.

Obviously you have taken the steps your past two weekends...HUGE weekend for you guys, congrats

[urdeadtome.over]

i dunno about the rest of the nation but in ecrha D1 Rhode Island is runnin show from here on out.

[train]

My Predictions for the Nationals Field:

Division II:
ECRHA - Neumann
GP - Truman State
MCRHL - Grand Valley State
SECRHL - Elon
SCHL - ULL
WCRHL - UCSD
At Large - Missouri State
At Large - West Chester
At Large - Cal Poly Pomona
At Large - CSU San Bernardino
At Large - Washington (STL)
At Large - Albany
At Large - Shippensburg
At Large - SLU
At Large - Maine
At Large - Emory
At Large - 4th WCRHL team
At Large - Slippery Rock
At Large - Sam Houston State
i'd be surprised if more than two teams from the great plains div II went to nationals. great plains is definitely weaker than last year.

[William Bourque]

i'd be surprised if more than two teams from the great plains div II went to nationals. great plains is definitely weaker than last year.

It all depends on the people voting. I have no idea how good anyone outside the ECRHA is, and even then i couldn't give you a list of the top 12 teams in any order and be confident in it past the first 2 in both DI and DII

[Hockeyguy22]

Watch out for WCU

[betteronice]

Watch out for WCU
yea, they seemed to have improved alot and are probably the best team in D2 in the south. . . unbeaten in their last 8 games, with their only 2 losses coming in 1-goal decisions to D1 teams USC and JMU

[dan sangiorgio]

i think by WCU he meant west chester universty

[Hockeyguy22]

western carolina

[BLowe7]

i think by WCU he meant west chester universty


western carolina


either way, they're both good teams

[uconnhockey1]

Yeah, congratulations to Army on a great weekend, beating some good teams in ECRHA. Seems like they turn it on after Winterfest and become a force to be reckoned with. They have some quality players on that team and are a class act on and off the rink.

Rhode Island did look awfully impressive this weekend in CT, getting contributions from the whole team, not just one or two guys. I think Buffalo and Stony Brook will also be contenders, it should be interesting to see how ECRHA Div. 1 turns out.

Good luck to the rest of the teams the rest of the season.

Jesse

[fulton22]

cant deny that Rutgers is in the mix now. Id narrow down ECRHA D1 to Stony Brook, Rhode Island, Buffalo, and Rutgers....in no specific order.

[GripperWheels]

To bad Rutgers just went down to some cross regional play by Eastern Michigan
Big loss for Rutgers
They are currently ranked but will drop at the next time rankings are posted.

[InlineMBA]

Key to the loss for Rutgers was not having Robbie Fulton #22. He's like having a coach on the Rink for Rutgers and they certainly missed his intensity.

Don't read too much into this loss by Rutgers, when it comes to evaluating where they stand in the national picture.

Also, the Rutgers vs. Rhode Island game was GREAT. Rutgers was up 3-0, and 4-1, but Rhode Island kept on the pressure to get it to 4-3. Rhode Island had their chances, but Rutgers withstood the onslaught for the well deserved victory.

Steve Inge - ROXBURY 8

[InlineMBA]

Sunday @ Feasterville:

Penn State vs Rhode Island - TIE

Rhode Island had to come from behind to tie this one up. Lots of action, in a fast paced game.

Steve Inge - ROXBURY 8

[InlineMBA]

Eastern Michigan 4-3 over Hofstra, didn't see that one coming.

Didn't watch it either.

Steve Inge - ROXBURY 8

[William Bourque]

Eastern Michigan 4-3 over Hofstra, didn't see that one coming.

Didn't watch it either.

Steve Inge - ROXBURY 8

Was a good game...EMU scored to go up 4-2 with about 8 min to go in the game and Hofstra cut it to one a min or so later...

Hofstra took a penalty with about 2 min to go and EMU held the puck on the delay until about 10 seconds to go with some awesome passing and skating...

[William Bourque]

#1 - Pat Lawton will fall while skating on defense a grand total of 33 1/2 times. 24 1/3

#2 - Justin Brennan will make 12 saves with his head that his teammates always seem to talk about like they have some weird infatuation with it. Completed 14

#3 - Mark Amato will set a career high in penalty minutes by taking at least 2 more penalties this season. Completed

#4 - Bryan Lowe will score 3 even strength goals in the remaining games pushing his season total to 5, even though he scores 20 goals (no pressure)
1 or 2

#5 - Steve Downie will be suspended from the ECRHA. Completed

#6 - At least 5 games will go into overtime at regionals, including both the DI and B championship games.

#7 - Steve Downie will be suspended from the NFL. Completed

#8 - I will have a heart attack en route to becoming the first person in the world to eat 365 Chipotle burritos in 90 days. Completed, only took me 5 days. ;)

#9 - Bode Miller will ski drunk. Completed

#10 - I will lose my voice or get sick before a weekend is out. Completed - Voice

Good Luck to everyone in the second half of the season.

Some of the predictions have come true...Pat you would have fell more however those new skates helped you out...

[MAmato]

Some of the predictions have come true...Pat you would have fell more however those new skates helped you out...exactly 12 is off

that having been said, i obliterated my old record

i now own 5 records, awright

[William Bourque]

exactly 12 is off

that having been said, i obliterated my old record

i now own 5 records, awright

That depends on what version of the list you use...

[BLINGBLING]

D1 predictions
LOCKS-
Rhode Island
Stony Brook
Rutgers
Buffalo
Lindenwood
UMSL
Michigan St
Ohio St.
Michigan
Colorado St
Florida
Cal Poly SLO
UC Irvine
Southwest Regional Winner

Probable (good chance)
Towson
Missouri-Columbia
Michigan
Colorado
Central Florida
South Florida
Long Beach State

WORK LEFT TO DO (Fighting for a spot, need good showing at regionals)
Army
Pittsburgh
Eastern Michigan
Purdue
James Madison
NC State
Florida International
UC Santa Barbara
UNLV

[jsp047]

Just wondering why you went with Cal Poly SLO for one of the two lock spots out of the West instead of Long Beach State.

[MAmato]

THIS POST IS NOT MEANT TO PISS ANYONE OFF, IT IS WHAT HAPPENS WHEN I TRY DOING A SIMPLE MODEL TO TURN IN FOR HOMEWORK IN A STATS AND RISK CLASS

DON'T GET ANGRY AT ME, GET ANGRY AT MATH
As for ECRHA DII regionals, my initial "risk analysis" for patn lawton reveals that one of binghamton, brockport, SRU, vermont, cornell, mville, and drexel are almost certain to be the odd team out. Using a very simple model that took into account teams that have to be played (either because you need 2 games per team in conference or because there's only so many teams at the event), winning percentage of those teams NOT ADJUSTED FOR STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE, a random pick of teams that can be played for any remaining games (ie are at the event and have not been played more than twice), it came out to about this:


Drexel
Mville
Vermont
Cornell
Binghamton
Brockport
SRU (odd team out)

This is odd, as from what I saw from SRU earlier this season they are a great team; their problem is that their end of season schedule is loaded. Bingo and Brockport have the issues of having to beat up on one another, and Bingo has a rough schedule as well. Drexel and Mville should be a dogfight, and Vermont might be ranked slightly low since I basically spent 10 minutes coming up with a "schedule" that would work out for every team. Cornell may be low or high based upon what happens with the Briarcliffe game in two weeks (i made it a tie for the purposes of this). And, because this took me 15 minutes to do and I don't want to spend any more time on an extra credit assignment, I didn't do a monte carlo or include a random variable (like goal differential or something) to generate any sort of confidence in these numbers.

Hooray for math.

[William Bourque]

WOW...just WOW...

************** (1:35:36 PM): i love math


Aren't you suppose to do classwork at Cornell?

[MAmato]

WOW...just WOW...

************** (1:35:36 PM): i love math


Aren't you suppose to do classwork at Cornell?
you ship boys aren't so good at reading, are you

it was classwork you nonce, it's in bold at the top of the post, there was a paragraph after it that explained all the things wrong with the model, how it could be fixed, and why it's really tough with a tiny sample size

and of course i love math, it's what i'm at school for and why i make the big bucks

[William Bourque]

you ship boys aren't so good at reading, are you

it was classwork you nonce, it's in bold at the top of the post, there was a paragraph after it that explained all the things wrong with the model, how it could be fixed, and why it's really tough with a tiny sample size

and of course i love math, it's what i'm at school for and why i make the big bucks

well played

[MAmato]

well played
yeah i was pretty sure the whole "haha only nerds like math" thing died out once you hit college since knowing what math is correlates with cash, money, and hoes but then again i can never tell when you're being serious or edgy

i think it's the hair

[William Bourque]

i think it's the hair



Speaking of the hair...Regionals are going to be missing the outrageous hair...

[Leaferguy]

yeah i was pretty sure the whole "haha only nerds like math" thing died out once you hit college since knowing what math is correlates with cash, money, and hoes but then again i can never tell when you're being serious or edgy

i think it's the hair
Fine. I'll go build my own lunar lander with blackjack and hookers. In fact, forget the lunar lander and the blackjack. Eh, screw the whole thing.

[MAmato]

Fine. I'll go build my own lunar lander with blackjack and hookers. In fact, forget the lunar lander and the blackjack. Eh, screw the whole thing.
i thought that in a few years you were going to build yourself a castle using your oil riches on the backs of the downtrodden

if you do it right, you'll be like a real life version of there will be blood

[thefelixculpa]

How does regionals work? I know that 12 teams make it and that it is round robin style, but what determines which teams go into each pool group? This is my first year playing, I'm a noob.


Also, would it be possible to make a regional standings that work along side the division standings throughout the year, much like NHL.com has the division standings and conference standings?

[MAmato]

the following is ecrha DII specific

regionals is top 12 using overall points as the first seeder (no conference 1-3 like in the nhl), followed by wins, head to head record, goal differential, goals allowed, and low PIM (a slap in the face to fantasy hockey players everywhere)

round robin is 3 games with 3 pools:

pool 1 (pool d'Neumann) : 1, 6, 7, 12
pool 2 (pool d'WCU): 2, 5, 8, 11
pool 3 (pool d'bloodbath): 3,4, 9, 10

then reseed according to round robin points and some other tiebreakers, i figure if my team wins games then i don't worry about them

[Army Defense]

How does regionals work? I know that 12 teams make it and that it is round robin style, but what determines which teams go into each pool group? This is my first year playing, I'm a noob.


Also, would it be possible to make a regional standings that work along side the division standings throughout the year, much like NHL.com has the division standings and conference standings?

i could have sworn i posted this somewhere already:

D1
pool A 1,4,5,8
pool B 2,3,6,7

D2
pool A 1,6,7,12
pool B 2,5,8,11
pool C 3,4,9,10

[William Bourque]

This is what the pools were for last years tournament.

Pool A: 1,6,7,12
Pool B: 2,5,8,11
Pool C: 3,4,9,10

Based on Current Standings:

Pool A: Neumann, Drexel, Millersville, Slippery Rock/Vermont
Pool B: West Chester, Shippensburg, Maine, Brockport
Pool C: Albany, Temple, Cornell, Binghamton

Obviously there are many changes/tie-breakers that could move teams around a bit, but thats what things look like right now. The only teams that don't have any games remaining are Temple and West Chester.

West Chester is a lock for at least 2nd place.

This is where everyone can finish to finish the season if they win all their games. Granted most of the teams play each other and can't win all their games.


1 - Neumann
2 - West Chester
3 - Albany
4 - Maine
5 - Binghamton
6 - Shippensburg
7 - Drexel
8 - Millersville
9 - Temple
10 - Slippery Rock
11 - Vermont
12 - Brockport

Neumann, West Chester, Albany and Temple are the only teams to clinch so far.

18 points clinches a playoffs spot right now as Cornell's Max points is 17. After next weekend the playoff picture should clear up and ill have a better idea what teams need to do is clinch.

Shippensburg - clinches with a win in any of their last three games
Drexel - clinches with two wins in their last three games.
Everyone Else - pointless to figure out.

[Army Defense]

what about DI Bill? are we going to get a write-up again this year?

[William Bourque]

what about DI Bill? are we going to get a write-up again this year?

After this weekend i will be able to figure DI our pretty easily...and ill throw out the scenarios as well...

[Leaferguy]

i thought that in a few years you were going to build yourself a castle using your oil riches on the backs of the downtrodden

if you do it right, you'll be like a real life version of there will be blood
Thanks for reminding me that I need to spend a day at the movies sometime soon.

Also, off from 16-Jun to 1-Sep = good times

Also, send me your friend's contact info so I can get him in touch with my contact.

[William Bourque]

This is what DI looks like with everyone earning Max Points (even though its not possible):

1 - Buffalo or Stony Brook
2 - Buffalo or Stony Brook
3 - Rutgers
4 - Rhode Island
5 - Towson
6 - Penn State
7 - Army
8 - Pittsburgh

20 points is the magic number after this weekend meaning Rhode Island, Rutgers, Stony Brook, Penn State and Buffalo have clinched playoff spots unless my math is wrong.

[William Bourque]

correct me if this is wrong-- but if you guys (ship) beat Slippery rock, and we (Mville) win at least 1 game this weekend, we will be clinch a spot in regionals?

I don't have everyone's schedule so this information is marginally accurate at best. But, the way a magic number works is it's a number that 12 teams can achieve and the rest can't. AT this point that number is 18 because 6 of the 18 DII teams can't earn that many points with Cornell maxing out at 17 points.

If any team in that is currently sitting at an 18 point max drops down to 16 points Max, the new magic number would become 17 points and Cornell would be in the playoffs and that team out. After this weekend the magic number could be as low as 14 points based on who plays each other.

Shippensburg at this point could probably lose all 3 games and still make regionals, even though we have yet to clinch a spot yet. I am not going to make that claim that you would clinch a spot until its certain because there are still many factors, so I'll leave you with its highly probable but definitively not guaranteed.

[thefelixculpa]

ok i understand. i actually went back and looked closer at the standings and realized that i was technically wrong, so i deleted my post before i knew you replied.

[paddymac]

DI Predictions

I heard a rumor that there will be no teams from the Southwest at Nationals so I'm not including any in these picks.


Locks(14)
Stony Brook
Buffalo
Rhode Island
Rutgers
Lindenwood
UMSL
Michigan State
Ohio State
Michigan
Colorado State
Florida
UC Irvine
Long Beach State
Cal Poly SLO

Work left to do(13)
Towson
Penn State
Missouri - Columbia
Eastern Michigan
Purdue
Western Michigan
Colorado
JMU
FIU
Central Florida
NC State
UCSB
UNLV

[ISFN]

I'm sure the "rumor" you heard is incorrect. You have to atleast give them (Southwest) 1 bid for D1.

As for the rest of your "lock" picks, this looks like its going to be a great nationals for sure, Strongest field with the most talent that I'm sure D1 has had in a while, plan on some huge upsets and some new faces.

Also is the Rhode Island team the same as last years Final team? What about Stony Brook?

[William Bourque]

Also is the Rhode Island team the same as last years Final team? What about Stony Brook?

Stony Brook added Jim Tamburino from Towson to their team this year and have mostly everyone from their team last year back this year.

Rhode Island looks even better than last year this season.

DI in the ECRHA is more balanced that in years past towards its top teams.

Buffalo is extremely talented and fun to watch as well.

[William Bourque]

Update on Division I after this past weekend:

Current Standings (Max Possible Points)
Buffalo - 34
Rutgers - 28 (34)
Penn State - 26
Rhode Island - 25 (31)
Stony Brook - 24 (38)
Towson - 24 (30)
Army - 19 (25)
Pittsburgh - 14

Not Eliminated:
RIT - 8 (14)
Hofstra - 2 (16)


I don't know how the tie-breakers pan out, but RIT will be eliminated with a loss in any of the three remaining games and Hofstra would be eliminated with one loss and a tie or two losses or three ties in the seven remaining games.

[William Bourque]

Update on Division II after this weekend:
Neumann - 32 - #1 Seed
West Chester - 28 - #2 Seed
Shippensburg - 21
Albany - 20 (26)
Temple - 18
Drexel - 18
Slippery Rock - 15
Millersville - 13
Maine - 12 (24)
Binghamton - 12 (20)
Vermont - 12 (18)
Cornell - 11 (17)
Brockport - 10 (18)

Bold teams have clinched, and only Neumann and West Chester have clinched any seed.



Maine clinches with a win in the last 6 games
Binghamton clinches with a win in the last 4 games
Vermont clinches with a win in the last 3 games
Cornell clinches with two wins in the last 3 games
Brockport clinches with two wins in the last 4 games
Millersville clinches if either Maine, Binghamton, Vermont, Cornell or Brockport fails to clinch.

This does not take into account anybody who ties Millersville as there would be tie-breakers that would go into place and its to complex to figure out until the games are played

[InlineMBA]

How are seeding tie-breakers utilized?

ie. 1st - Head-to-head
2nd - GA
3rd - GD
4th - Coin flip, shoot-out (NARCh Style)

Steve Inge - ROXBURY 8

[William Bourque]

How are seeding tie-breakers utilized?

Standings are determined by the following:

i. Most points accrued (2 points for a win, 1 point for a tie, 0 points for a loss)
ii. Most wins amassed in the course of the Regular Season.
iii. Head-to-head record of teams that are involved in the tie
iv. Goal Differential (total goals scored in Regular Season games - total goals allowed in regular season games)
v. Fewest Total Goals Allowed in Regular Season Games
vi. Most Goals Scored in regular Season Games
vii. Fewest Penalty Minutes accrued in Regular Season Games
viii. Coin Toss

If this has changed, i will repost.

[InlineMBA]

WOW! Thanks.

ii - is a twist I didn't consider

vii - I always liked this one


Steve Inge - ROXBURY 8

[William Bourque]

Thanks.

ii - is a twist I didn't consider

Steve Inge - ROXBURY 8

It occurred last year in a tie between Vermont (7-7-2) and Shippensburg (6-6-4). Vermont won the tie-breaker, so they got to wear white in the round robin game because both teams ended up in the same pool during regionals. Ship upset Vermont 6-4 in that game.

[InlineMBA]

Ouch - see how these things come back to bite you.

Steve Inge - ROXBURY 8

ps - then, for those that know of it, the "Inge Theory" comes into play.

[William Bourque]

DI Predictions

I heard a rumor that there will be no teams from the Southwest at Nationals so I'm not including any in these picks.


Locks(14)
Stony Brook
Buffalo
Rhode Island
Rutgers
Lindenwood
UMSL
Michigan State
Ohio State
Michigan
Colorado State
Florida
UC Irvine
Long Beach State
Cal Poly SLO

Work left to do(13)
Towson
Penn State
Missouri - Columbia
Eastern Michigan
Purdue
Western Michigan
Colorado
JMU
FIU
Central Florida
NC State
UCSB
UNLV

Figured i would post this here since you made DI predictions and might be interested in this:


Currently I see things going like this, but it's all subject to change based on regional performance.


ECRHA - Stony Brook (auto), Buffalo, Rhode Island
On the Bubble: Rutgers, Towson, Penn State

Great Plains - Lindenwood (auto), UMSL,
On the Bubble - Missouri - Columbia

Midwest - Michigan State (auto), Ohio State, Michigan, Eastern Michigan
On the Bubble - Purdue

Rocky-
On the Bubble - Colorado State, Colorado, Northern Colorado

Southeast - Florida (auto)
On the Bubble - Florida International, Central Florida, Florida State, South Florida, James Madison

Southwest - North Texas (auto)
On the Bubble - Texas

West - UC Irvine (auto), Long Beach State, Cal Poly SLO
On the Bubble - UNLV, UC Davis, UC Santa Barbara

So the way i see it, 14 teams have clinched a spot at nationals, with another that will clinch at regionals, leaving 5 at large spots remaining in the country for 17 teams that are in striking distance of nationals. Additionally, any team that is listed as a bubble team that wins regional will steal another spot from those available...